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WWAK81PAFC_AKZ121
-----------------
AKZ101-111-121-141-145-012245-
ANCHORAGE-MATANUSKA VALLEY-WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON...KENAI...
SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...
MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
233 PM AKDT WED JUN 29 2016

...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN COMING TO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...

UNUSUALLY WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO PORTIONS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA ON THURSDAY...IMPACTING DRIVING
CONDITIONS...OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES...AND RESULTING IN RISES ON
RIVERS AND STREAMS. NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND MAT-SU VALLEYS
WILL SEE THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS...WITH THE MATANUSKA
RIVER LIKELY SEEING THE HIGHEST WATER LEVELS OF THE SUMMER SO FAR.
OTHER RIVERS NORTH OF ANCHORAGE WILL ALSO SEE SIGNIFICANT WATER
LEVEL INCREASES. LESSER BUT STILL NOTEWORTHY RAINFALL TOTALS AND
ASSOCIATED RIVER RISES WILL OCCUR AROUND THE ANCHORAGE AREA AND
THE NORTHERN KENAI PENINSULA. ANCHORAGE AREA DRIVERS SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR LOCALIZED PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND BIKE
PATHS.
.KENAI LAKE AND KENAI RIVER...

WATER LEVELS ON KENAI LAKE AND THE UPPER KENAI RIVER REMAIN HIGH.
NO WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER WATER
WILL BE HIGH THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND. IN THE LAST 24
HOURS THE UPPER RIVER HAS CRESTED...WITH THE COOPER LANDING RIVER
GAUGE HAVING DROPPED ABOUT 2 INCHES SINCE YESTERDAY. THE UPCOMING
RAINFALL WILL LIKELY REVERSE THIS TREND AND RESULT IN AN ADDITIONAL
RISE IN THE RIVER. THERE IS LIKELY STILL SOME WATER ACROSS THE
ACCESS ROAD TO PRIMROSE CAMPGROUND...LOCATED AT THE SOUTH END OF
KENAI LAKE. RECENT REPORTS FROM THE KENAI KEYS AREA INDICATE THE
RIVER IS BANKFULL IN THIS AREA WITH PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING
AREAS ADJACENT TO THE RIVER.

MEANWHILE...A RECENT OVERFLIGHT OF THE SKILAK GLACIER-DAMMED LAKE
IN THE KENAI MOUNTAINS HAS CONFIRMED THAT THE LAKE LEVEL REMAINS
HIGH AND HAS NOT RELEASED. THE NWS HAS NO INDICATION THAT A
RELEASE IS IMMINENT...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THIS
SITUATION AND WILL UPDATE THIS STATEMENT AS NECESSARY.

THOSE WITH INTERESTS ON OR ALONG THE KENAI RIVER AND NEAR THE
PRIMROSE CAMPGROUND SHOULD MONITOR THIS SITUATION CLOSELY AND 
PREPARE NOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF CONTINUED RISING WATER LEVELS.

THE LATEST FORECAST AND OBSERVATIONS ARE ALWAYS AVAILABLE AT 
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/APRFC

$$
FPAK51PAFC_AKZ121
-----------------
AKZ121-301345-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
320 PM AKDT WED JUN 29 2016
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS INLAND IN THE
EVENING. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS EXCEPT
SOUTHWEST TO 15 MPH ALONG THE INLET.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
LIGHT WINDS EXCEPT SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH ALONG THE INLET.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.  LIGHT WINDS
EXCEPT SOUTHWEST 15 MPH ALONG THE INLET.
.FRIDAY...RAIN. HIGHS AROUND 60. VARIABLE WIND TO 10 MPH. AROUND
KACHEMAK BAY...SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. VARIABLE WIND TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE
60S.
.SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS 45 TO 55. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
.MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS 45 TO 55. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

&&
                  TEMPERATURE         /       PRECIPITATION

KENAI        50     61     51     58  /  20     90     90     90
SOLDOTNA     48     61     49     60  /  20     90     90     90
HOMER        50     59     50     58  /  50     50     80     60


$$

Derived from FPAK51PAFC - Updated 19:05 06/29/2016


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