Hydro-Met Discussion - APRFC


AGAK78 PACR 262244
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT SUN JUN 26 2016 

...FLOOD POTENTIAL... 

HIGH ELEVATION SNOW MELT IS CAUSING WATER LEVELS ON THE KENAI RIVER
TO SLOWLY RISE.  MINOR LOCAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING EARLY IN
THE WEEK... BUT WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.  WATER LEVELS
ON THE KENAI RIVER WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY
HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE STATE. 

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION... 

THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURES TODAY ARE A LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND... A LOW IN THE ARCTIC NORTH OF BARROW... AND RIDGES IN THE
BERING AND IN WESTERN CANADA.  THE SOUTHERN LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH
THROUGH MONDAY... THEN MOVE BACK NORTH INTO THE CENTRAL GULF THROUGH
MIDWEEK.  SHORTWAVES MOVING AROUND THIS LOW... ALONG WITH A THERMAL
TROUGH... WILL KEEP PERIODS OF SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF INTERIOR AND
SOUTHERN ALASKA THROUGH MIDWEEK.  THE NORTHERN LOW IS DRAGGING A
FRONT AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH
MONDAY. 

...PRECIPITATION...

PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR 
======== ====                 == ==   ===== 
CJXA2    KUSKOKWIM RIVER      PC RG :  1.09
PAKT     KETCHIKAN            PP RZ :  1.06
GQIA2    QUEEN INLET GLACIER  PC RG :  0.86
SRYA2    SITUK RIVER          PC RG :  0.80
CSNA2    CHISANA RAWS         PC RG :  0.79
JTMA2    MT ROBERTS TRAM      PC RZ :  0.78
PAGS     GUSTAVUS             PP RZ :  0.77
DBWA2    DRY BAY GLACIER BAY  PC RG :  0.76
CNAA2    CHISANA SNOTEL       PC R2 :  0.76
GDPA2    GOODPASTER RAWS      PC RG :  0.69
SLRA2    SALCHA RIVER RAWS    PC RG :  0.67
SHLA2    SHELTER COVE RAWS    PC RG :  0.58
BLTA2    BARTLETT COVE        PC RG :  0.58
PAYA     YAKUTAT              PP RZ :  0.55
SDIA2    SOUTH DOUGLAS        PC RZ :  0.51
PANT     ANNETTE              PP RZ :  0.50
DOYA2    DONNELLY RAWS        PC RG :  0.50
AUKA2    AUKE BAY LARC        PC RP :  0.50
PATO     PORTAGE GLACIER      PP RZ :  0.49
HADA2    HAIDA RAWS           PC RG :  0.42
PEDA2    PEDERSEN LAGOON      PC RG :  0.41
HONA2    HOONAH RAWS          PC RG :  0.41
ABYA2    AUKE BAY LAB DOCK    PC RZ :  0.41
PADQ     KODIAK               PP RZ :  0.40
MCAA2    MONTANA CREEK        PC RG :  0.40
TETA2    JATAHMUND LAKE RAWS  PC RG :  0.39
PAKW     KLAWOCK              PP RZ :  0.39
KLAA2    CHELLE LAKE          PC RG :  0.37
GECA2    GEORGE CREEK RAWS    PC RG :  0.37
KKEA2    KAKE RAWS            PC RG :  0.36
WLCA2    WOLVERINE CREEK      PC RG :  0.35
PAWG     WRANGELL             PP RZ :  0.34
MNDA2    MENDENHALL LAKE      PC RG :  0.32
GNLA2    NUNATAK LOWER        PC RG :  0.32
DCSA2    DAVIES CREEK SNOTEL  PC R2 :  0.32
CRGA2    CRAIG WEATHER STN    PC RG :  0.32
CRUA2    COLVILLE RIVER       PC RG :  0.31
NKOA2    INNOKO FLATS RAWS    PC RG :  0.30
UMTA2    UMIAT AIRFIELD       PC RG :  0.29
JCKA2    JARVIS CREEK RAWS    PC RG :  0.29
THOA2    THORNE BAY RAWS      PC RG :  0.27
SRFA2    STRAWBERRY REEF      PC R2 :  0.27
CBHA2    CORDOVA BOAT HARBOR  PC RP :  0.26
BTAA2    BOLIO RAWS           PC RG :  0.26

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE STATE.
 
THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE COASTAL YUKON DELTA REGION...
THE SEWARD PENINSULA.... AND MOST OF THE WESTERN BROOKS RANGE AND
WESTERN NORTH SLOPE.  THERE ARE INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE REST OF THE MAINLAND AND OVER
SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.  
....................................................................

THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZEUP IN THE FALL. A
GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

A GRAPHICAL SLIDE SHOW PRESENTATION OF HYDROMET ISSUES IS AVAILABLE 
AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRESENT
$$

ACL