Hydro-Met Discussion - APRFC


AGAK78 PACR 052254
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT SUN JUL 5 2015 

...FLOOD POTENTIAL...

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW ACROSS THE STATE.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION... 

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN TODAY IS DOMINATED BY A LOW COMPLEX WHICH 
SPANS FROM THE BERING TO THE NORTH PACIFIC... AND A RIDGE FROM THE 
CHUKCHI SEA ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA TO A HIGH SOUTH OF THE EASTERN 
GULF. 
 
THE LOW COMPLEX IS BRINGING A FEW SHOWERS TO SOUTHWEST AND 
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TODAY... WHILE THE NEXT FRONT IS ALREADY 
BRINGING RAIN TO KODIAK AND THE AKPEN.  THIS NEXT FRONT WILL SPREAD 
RAIN INTO THE SOUTHWEST COASTAL REGION TONIGHT... THE RAIN WILL 
SPREAD NORTH AND EAST THROUGH TUESDAY.

...PRECIPITATION...

PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR 
======== ====                 == ==   ===== 
MCPA2    MCARTHUR PASS        PC RG :  1.32
CGMA2    CHIGMIT MOUNTAINS    PC RG :  0.76
PEDA2    PEDERSEN LAGOON      PC RG :  0.69
NRDA2    NUYAKUK R            PC RG :  0.63
CKLA2    CAPE KIAVAK RAWS     PC RG :  0.54
PAPB     SAINT GEORGE ISLAND  PP RZ :  0.52
BLCA2    BLACK CAPE RAWS      PC RG :  0.38
PADQ     KODIAK               PP RZ :  0.37
PAVC     KING COVE            PP RZ :  0.31
FAFA2    PFAFF MINE           PC RG :  0.30
SVRA2    SILVER SALMON LAKES  PC RG :  0.23
PAKN     KING SALMON          PP RZ :  0.21
KILA2    KILBUCK RAWS         PC RG :  0.21

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR ABOVE 
NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL COASTAL 
REGIONS... MOST OF THE EASTERN MAINLAND... AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA.

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES FOR  
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND... THE 
AKPEN... KENAI PENINSULA... AND THE NORTH GULF COAST.  THERE ARE 
INCREASED CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTH 
SLOPE.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER 
INFORMATION.  
....................................................................

A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

A GRAPHICAL SLIDE SHOW PRESENTATION OF HYDROMET ISSUES IS AVAILABLE 
AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRESENT
$$

ACL