Hydro-Met Discussion - APRFC


AGAK78 PACR 222325
HMDACR

AGAK78 PACR DDHHMM
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT FRI AUG 22 2014 

...FLOOD POTENTIAL... 

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW.

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION... 

ON THURSDAY.. THE ONLY WEATHER TO SPEAK OF WERE THE RESULT OF A 
COUPLE OF SHORT WAVES MOVING THROUGH THE STATE. ONE WAS OVER THE 
NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE AND THE OTHER SLIPPED INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. 
 
THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN OF A LARGE SLOW EASTWARDLY MOVING LOW IN THE 
WESTERN BERING AND A BROAD RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC REMAINS 
INTACT FOR AT LEAST A COUPLE MORE DAYS. THE SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY 
EXITING SOUTHCENTRAL ON ITS WAY THROUGH THE NORTH GULF AND INTO 
CANADA DOES LITTLE BUT KICK OFF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING 
IN THAT REGION. THERE IS ANOTHER WAVE OF ENERGY MOVING ONSHORE OVER 
THE NORTH SLOPE THIS EVENING THAT WILL CREATE THE GARDEN VARIETY 
SHOWER UP THAT WAY AS WELL.  

IN THE LONGER RANGE... THE ANOMALOUSLY STRONG RIDGE IN THE PACIFIC 
APPEARS TO COME TO AN END ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW IN THE BERING MOVES 
INTO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION. THE TYPICAL RAINFALL PATTERN WITH KIND 
OF TRAJECTORY COVERS THE SOUTHWEST... COOK INLET AREA AND KODIAK 
ISLAND BY THAT TIME. 

PRECIPITATION... SELECTED PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE 24 HOURS 
ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS    24 HR 
======== ====                 == ==    ===== 
CHMA2    CHIMNEY LAKE         PP RG :   0.63
ERVA2    NORTH FORK EAGLE RIV PP RG :   0.54
FMRA2    FORTYMILE RIVER AT T PP RG :   0.52
ARDA2    ANCHOR RIVER DIVIDE  PC RM :   0.50
HULA2    HULAHULA RIVER NEAR  PP RG :   0.39
ARGA2    ATIGUN RIVER BELOW G PP RG :   0.36
WSLA2    WASILLA RAWS         PC RP :   0.32
TOOA2    IMNAVIAT CREEK SNOTE PC RM :   0.30
COFA2    COLDFOOT SNOTEL      PC RM :   0.30
PAOT     KOTZEBUE             PP RZ :   0.27
RAMA2    RAM CREEK            PP RG :   0.24
AWRA2    HELMET MOUNTAIN RAWS PP RG :   0.24
WLVA2    WOLVERINE GLACIER NR PC R2 :   0.21
KNAA2    MYSTERY CREEK AT KEN PP RG :   0.21
UCEA2    UPPER CHENA DOME SNO PC RM :   0.20
GRFA2    GRAPHITE LAKE RAWS   PP RG :   0.20
GOBA2    GOBBLERS KNOB SNOTEL PC RM :   0.20
ATGA2    ATIGUN PASS SNOTEL   PC RM :   0.20
PAMA2    PAMICHTUK LAKE       PP RG :   0.18
UCEA2    UPPER CHENA DOME SNO PC R2 :   0.14
KLIA2    KILLIK PASS          PP RG :   0.14
PAVC     KING COVE            PP RZ :   0.13
MSOA2    MUNSON RIDGE SNOTEL  PC R2 :   0.13
WLVA2    WOLVERINE GLACIER NR PP RG :   0.12
FYNA2    FORT YUKON SNOTEL    PC RZ :   0.11



...LONG RANGE... 

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE 
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE STATE. 

THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED CHANCES OF ABOVE 
NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE ENTIRE STATE... BUT MORE PRONOUNCED 
OVER THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST. 

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER 
INFORMATION.  
....................................................................

THIS HYDROMET DISCUSSION WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZE-UP BEGINS 
IN THE FALL.
 
A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

$$

ETH