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AGAK78 PACR 292355
HMDACR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NWS ALASKA PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKDT WED JUN 29 2016 

...FLOOD POTENTIAL... 

HIGH ELEVATION SNOW MELT IS CAUSING WATER LEVELS ON THE KENAI RIVER
TO SLOWLY RISE.  MINOR LOCAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE... BUT WIDESPREAD
FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.  WATER LEVELS ON THE KENAI RIVER WILL
REMAIN HIGH THROUGH THE FOURTH OF JULY HOLIDAY WEEKEND. PLEASE REFER
TO THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. 

THE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS CURRENTLY LOW FOR THE REST OF THE STATE. 

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION... 

THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL FEATURES TODAY ARE THE SEMI-PERMANENT LOW IN
THE GULF, A LOW JUST EAST OF KAMCHATKA... AND RIDGES OVER THE
EASTERN BERING/WESTERN MAINLAND AND OVER WESTERN CANADA INTO
INTERIOR ALASKA.  THE GULF LOW WILL MOVE BACK NORTH AND AND WEAKEN
INTO THURSDAY... SHORTWAVES MOVING AROUND THIS LOW WILL KEEP PERIODS
OF SHOWERS OVER INTERIOR AND SOUTHERN ALASKA THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. OF SPECIAL INTEREST WILL BE A RATHER STRONG DISTURBANCE THAT
ROTATES WEST OUT OF CANADA ON THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN. THE FAIRBANKS OFFICE HAS A SPECIAL
WEATHER STATEMENT REGARDING THIS SCENARIO.

...PRECIPITATION...

PRECIPITATION TOTALS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING AT 4 AM TODAY:

LOCATION NAME                 PE TS   24 HR 
======== ====                 == ==   ===== 
PMNA2    GALENA RAWS AT POORM PP RG :   1.35
WONA2    WONDER LAKE RAWS     PP RG :   0.73
JDTA2    JUNEAU DOWNTOWN LARC PC RP :   0.67
GROA2    GROUSE CREEK NR SEWA PP RG :   0.53
PADQ     KODIAK               PP RZ :   0.44
SWNA2    SWANSON RIVER RAWS   PP RG :   0.37 
TQUA2    TELAQUANA LAKE       PC RM :   0.30
KSHA2    KANTISHNA            PC RM :   0.30
ARDA2    ANCHOR RIVER DIVIDE  PC RM :   0.30
LCRA2    LITTLE CHENA RIDGE S PP RG :   0.26
KSHA2    KANTISHNA            PC R2 :   0.26
STNA2    STONY STRIP RAWS     PC RG :   0.22
TANA2    TANA KNOB NPS RAWS   PC RG :   0.20
PGRA2    PORT GRAHAM SNOTEL   PC RM :   0.20
MAGA2    MATANUSKA RIVER NR M PP RG :   0.20

...LONG RANGE...

THE 6 TO 10 DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE ENTIRE STATE WITH THE BEST
CHANCES OVER THE SOUTHWEST.
 
THE 6 TO 10 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK HAS INCREASED PROBABILITIES OF
ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE STATE WITH THE BEST
CHANCES OVER THE PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST INTERIOR.

PLEASE REFER TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER HOME PAGE FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.  
....................................................................

THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE ISSUED DAILY UNTIL FREEZEUP IN THE FALL. A
GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THE HYDROMET DISCUSSION IS AVAILABLE AT
HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/GHMD.PHP

A GRAPHICAL SLIDE SHOW PRESENTATION OF HYDROMET ISSUES IS AVAILABLE 
AT HTTP://APRFC.ARH.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/PRESENT
$$

ETH

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Page Modified: 03 Feb 2008 18:00 UTC
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